⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

LHB
NYY · 47 appearances tracked
6
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
12.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
13.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.6
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.155
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#4
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 6 HRs in 47 games
Due (1×)
0.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
0
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
47
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
14
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#107.9
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
47 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-26 #160 Bailey Falter L/L * 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-25 #153 Michael Wacha L/R * 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 #138 Drew Rasmussen L/R * 11.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 #175 Nick Martinez L/R * 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-21 #83 Braydon Fisher L/R * 7.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 #184 Trey Yesavage L/R * 7.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 #141 Dylan Cease L/R * 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 #158 Patrick Corbin L/L * 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-17 #202 Freddy Peralta L/R * 9.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-16 #221 Huascar Brazobán L/R * 5.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-15 #217 Clay Holmes L/R * 7.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-13 #138 Kyle Bradish L/R * 10.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-11 #46 Brandon Young L/R * 11.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #113 Logan Henderson L/R * 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 #135 Kyle Harrison L/L * 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 #75 Jacob Misiorowski L/R * 13.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-07 #4 MacKenzie Gore L/L * 16.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-06 #5 Nathan Eovaldi L/R * 22.3% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-05 #73 Jacob deGrom L/R * 16.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-04 #27 Shane Baz L/R * 13.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #11 Kyle Bradish L/R * 14.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #129 Nathan Eovaldi L/R * 17.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-28 #142 Jacob deGrom L/R * 13.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 #115 Jack Leiter L/R * 10.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-26 #204 Spencer Arrighetti L/R * 11.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #103 Mike Burrows L/R 14.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-24 #109 Lance McCullers Jr. L/R 14.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-04-23 #127 Payton Tolle L/L 9.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-04-22 #256 Ranger Suarez L/L 5.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-04-21 #236 Connelly Early L/L 4.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-18 #144 Noah Cameron L/L 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-17 #155 Michael Wacha L/R 6.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-16 #125 Brent Suter L/L 6.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-14 #119 Reid Detmers L/L 2.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 #19 Drew Rasmussen L/R 23.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 #46 Nick Martinez L/R 16.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-10 #68 Steven Matz L/L 15.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-09 #14 Jeffrey Springs L/L 19.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 #47 Luis Severino L/R 16.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 #29 Aaron Civale L/R 19.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 #13 Chris Paddack L/R 19.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-04 #4 Max Meyer L/L 23.0% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-01 #34 George Kirby L/R 14.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 #44 Logan Gilbert L/R 15.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 #87 Luis Castillo L/R 13.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 #193 Tyler Mahle · 8.8% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-27 #51 Robbie Ray · 12.4% ⚪ D · — ·

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